WOOBINE KEENELAND PARX RACING AQUEDUCT
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1 Catch the buzz daily from some of the nation s best handicappers every day in your in-box! $10 daily ($15 Saturday) ~ $49.95 monthly ~ $100 three months - strong play - stronger play - strongest play SATURDAY S BUZZ POST TIMES: ALL TIMES LISTED EDT. 2:29p WO R4 #2 Indiantown Sunrise 2-1 4s, JS 2:34p Pim R4 #3 Sideways Vision 7-2 4s, DCD 2:40p OP R3 #9 Commandment 3-1 4s, JS 3:30p SA R1 #1 Surf N Ski 6-1 3s, TT 3:55p Aqu R6 #3 First Ranger s, BN 4:04p Prx R8 #6 Uptown Boy 8-1 4s, BN 4:21p OP R6 #9 Unbridledcharacter s, JS 4:39p WO R8 #3 Conquest Bigluck E 2-1 4s, JS 4:51p Tam R9 #7 Unlocked 9-2 4s, BN 4:55p Pim R9 #2 Political Farce 9-2 4s, DCD 4:56p OP R7 #3 Tapiture 9-2 4s, JS 5:00p SA R4 #3 Loufoque 4-1 4s, TT 5:00p SA R4 #4 Stylistic s, JN 5:10p WO R9 #1 Mahogany Road 6-1 4s, JS 6:30p SA R7 #9 Party Rock 4-1 3s, JN 7:00p SA R8 #6 Go West Marie 2-1 4s, TT 7:18p OP R11 #5 Bold Conquest s, JS 10:12p LA R4 #10 El Korita 3-1 3s, TT 11:48p LA R8 #3 Jess Boots s, TT SATURDAY, APRIL 11, 2015 KEENELAND WOOBINE Race 4 WO #2 Indiantown Sunrise (2-1) Our Eyes: Wore down allowance foes (12-3) and has been keeping busy in the mornings in preparation for her comeback. Likely to be in good position throughout this one. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win, key in exotics. Race 8 WO #3 Conquest Bigluck E (2-1) Our Eyes: Rallied strongly in sprints and was up in time to keep his unbeaten record intact. In with a lot of speedy types here that should comeback to him. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win bet, EXBX 3 with 1-8. Race 9 WO #1 Mahogany Road (6-1) *** For our complete Keeneland coverage, pick up a monthly or quarterly subscription to the BUZZ and receive every race analysis from Jeremy Plonk via his Keeneland Sidekick! *** AQUEDUCT Race 6 Aqu #3 First Ranger (20-1) Our Eyes: 1/23 Sharp speed (again), kicked off far turn, braced for odds-on Jacobson dropper, didn't want to let him by, held for 2nd; could be useful with his speed back. UPDATE: Scored for us as a 5-star last time and let's come along at bigger odds on this aggressive ride, as he's loose again. Brian Nadeau Our Eyes: Nailed in the BUZZ at 24-1 (8-14) and has been very competitive vs. good sprinters. She should be able to secure a ground-saving trip here. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win, 2x place, EXBX 1 with 2-4. PARX RACING Race 8 Prx #6 Uptown Boy (8-1) Our Eyes: 3/21 2-P duel, shed pace foe after 3F's, wicked half-mile, braced for heavy chalk, did not want to let him by, tired late; huge improvement off barn change. -- Brian Nadeau Brian's Playbook: Ladder play of win, 2x place and 3x show and a must-use in the horizontal exotics. Brian's Playbook: WPS bet.
2 Catch the buzz daily from some of the nation s best handicappers every day in your in-box! $10 daily ($15 Saturday) ~ $49.95 monthly ~ $100 three months - strong play - stronger play - strongest play TAMPA BAY DOWNS Race 9 Tam #7 Unlocked (9-2) (turf only) Our Eyes: 3/20 No speed, didn't corner well, wide tip, green early through midstretch, awkward action, straightened out late, big strides. Brian Nadeau Brian's Playbook: Ladder play of win, 2x place and 3x show and a must-use in the horizontal exotics. PIMLICO Race 4 Pim #3 Sideways Vision (7-2) Our Eyes: This Wayne Potts trainee runs back in 11 days. Won on opening day at Pim 4/2 and with the track playing to early speed types could win his 3rd in the last 5 races. DC Dino Herrera Dino's Playbook: 2x win and 2x place. Race 9 Pim #2 Political Farce (9-2) Our Eyes: NY shippers have done quite well at Lrl and now Pimlico. This 5yo gelding drops into a nice spot and should be sitting third behind the two front runners turning for home. DC Dino Herrera Dino's Playbook: 2x win and 2x place. OAKLAWN PARK Race 3 OP #9 Commandment (3-1) Our Eyes: Has rallied very well vs. similar and can get going earlier against these. Has the best kick and can prevail in the closing strides. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win bet, key in exotics. Race 6 OP #9 Unbridledcharacter (10-1) Our Eyes: Spent 2014 away from the races and has come back very well in a pair of races here. The latest was an authoritative win vs. MSW in his first two-turn attempt. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win, 2x place, EXBX 9 with 7-9. Race 7 OP #3 Tapiture (9-2) Our Eyes: (3-14) Wide trip, didn t fire in Razorback in what was his 1 st since a runner-up finish to Goldencents in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile. Has had three useful works since his latest and can get back to good form. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win, 2x place, EXBX 3 with Race 11 OP #5 Bold Conquest (20-1) Our Eyes: Could not rally against slow fractions in last two. Ready to move toward top flight of 3-yearolds as he adds more distance. Jerry Shottenkirk Jerry s Playbook: Win, 2x place, EXBX 5-6. SANTA ANITA Race 1 SA #1 Surf N Ski (6-1) Our Eyes: In his last race at Los Alamitos he raced two-wide between horses, squeezed to last on the far turn, recovered to make a decent run late. Trainer Don Warren has a remarkable ROI with runners off the layoff and I think we can make #5 Nextdoorneighbor the 4/5 morning line favorite work for his blue ribbon. Terry Turrell Terry's Playbook: Bet to win, make a 1-5 exacta box. *** Santa Anita continued on the next page ***
3 Catch the buzz daily from some of the nation s best handicappers every day in your in-box! $10 daily ($15 Saturday) ~ $49.95 monthly ~ $100 three months - strong play - stronger play - strongest play Race 4 SA #3 Loufoque (4-1) Our Eyes: Filly ran huge making her career debut down the SA hillside turf course in 10/13 finishing second. She exits a productive heat routing on the turf finishing third of seven. Her trip not the best as she was fourth on the far turn, tried to squeeze through on the rail, encountered traffic mid stretch losing momentum and all chance. Terry Turrell Terry's Playbook: Bet to win, make a trifecta 3,4 w 1,3,4 w ALL. #4 Stylistic (10-1) Our Eyes: The 5-year-old mare returns after an 8- month layoff, but her works coming in to this race look outstanding for trainer Donald Warren. The sire Cyclotron is 21% with first-time turfers and we expect jockey Elvis Trujillo to have her forwardly placed down the hill. Jeff Nahill Jeff s Playbook: 2 units to win and 5 units to place.. Race 7 SA #9 Party Rock (4-1) Our Eyes: Trainer Bob Baffert drops this daughter of Good Journey into a claimer for the first time. When he does that he wins 38% of the time. Jockey Martin Garcia had a choice of another Baffert entrant and chose this one. Jeff Nahill LOS ALAMITOS Race 4 LA #10 El Korita (3-1) Our Eyes: This gelding appeared best in last two starts when finishing second suffering awkward starts from inside posts. He now moves to the far outside and has strong jockey/trainer team of Cesar DeAlba and Miguel Gonzalez. Terry Turrell Terry's Playbook: Bet to win, key in the trifecta with 1,3,6,8. Race 8 LA #3 Jess Boots (10-1) Our Eyes: In a wide-open sophomore allowance dash, I will take a chance with a gelding who is adding the flipping halter after breaking slow in last eventually finishing 7 th. This field is comprised of many horses who are trouble prone from the gate. Terry Turrell Terry's Playbook: Bet to win and place. Follow us on Facebook at and Twitter at Jeff s Playbook: 2 units to win, 4 units to place and 6 units to show. Race 8 SA #6 Go West Marie (2-1) Our Eyes: Improving filly from the hot barn of trainer Eddie Truman who is winning at a thirty percent win clip this meet. She was fourth on rail crossing the dirt, lacked room, forced to angle to the rail, lacked room again, moved back outside finishing with powerful late kick for impressive win. Terry Turrell Terry's Playbook: Bet to win, key in the exotics.
4 OUR EYES YOUR PRIZE! JEREMY PLONK S SATURDAY STAKES 8-PACK SELECTIONS ** Saturday, April 11, 2015 Edition ** Post (ET) Race / Stakes 2:38 pm Kee-5 Ben Ali Stakes 4:39 pm WO-8 Woodstock Stakes 4:46 pm Kee-9 Jenny Wiley Stakes 4:57 pm Aqu-8 Top Flight Handicap 5:30 pm SA-5 Kona Gold 5:32 pm OP-8 Instant Racing 6:41 pm OP-10 Northern Spur 7:00 pm SA-8 Las Cienegas Selections (best bets BOLD) #3 Farhaan #1 Neck n Neck #4 Golden Ticket #5 Protonico #3 CONQUEST BIGLUCK E #1 City of Vengeance #5 Imperial Dream #8 Jacks Escarpment #4 Ball Dancing (Turf Picks Only) #3 Filimbi #8 Eden Prairie #7 Emotional Kitten #3 Joint Return #6 Shayjolie #4 Got Lucky #2 House Rules #6 Masochistic #4 Sahara Sky #3 Seeking the Sherif #5 San Onofre #6 Perfect Fit #4 Harbour Island #3 Indian Brava #5 Promise Me Silver #3 Hillbilly Royalty #8 Wolf Man Rocket #6 Holiday Man #1 Bubba Roan #6 GO WEST MARIE (turf picks only) #1 Theatre Star #3 Living The Life #2 Home Journey Jeremy s Analysis In a race lacking much early pace, Farhaan for a white-hot Kiaran McLaughlin barn figures to be forward throughout and in the mix. Protonico is a total guess off a DNF, but working well for Pletcher. A reliable veteran closes late. Win 3. Exacta boxes 3-1 and 3-4. One of my top-rated 2YOs of 2014, Conquest Bigluck E was slow to come around this winter for Casse or he could have been a serious threat on the US trail. He finds a great return spot and is capable sprinting. Must outrun Ward gunner. Win 3. Exacta 3-1 and 3-5. Kee turf has been very soft in limited usage this meet and the European experienced and/or bred types are relishing it. Look for top two choices here to handle the going and be the way to go. Bath have run well at Kee in past. Two-deep multis. Exacta box 4-3. Class tends to show the farther they go so the 1-1/8 miles trip may separate some of these winter hotshots at the Big A from the highquality returnees. Joint Return was part of an outstanding 3YO filly crop last year and gets pace to run down late. Win-place 3. Lightning-fast Masochistic perfectly suited for 6.5 furlongs and while there is other heat in this race, he s in another league. Look for closers to pick up the pieces underneath for the exactas. Sahara Sky has a big chance late while fresh. Exactas 6-4, 6-3, smaller 4-6. Upset chance on other Calhoun as every single horse in this race wants to go to the front. Quinonez a longtime grab and hold rider early who prefers to drop anchor and rally; coming out of routes, #6 just might have this race shape fall into her lap. Win-place 6. Southwest bid by Hillbilly Royalty on short rest was out of character for veteran barn that now takes its time, reloads and lures Mike Smith for an easier spot than the Ark Derby. Well-drawn and sits forward thru-out. Baffert s maiden has late run. Win 3. Exacta 3-8. Go West Marie has developed into a turf sprint specialist down the hill at Santa Anita and her last 2 have been stellar through traffic. Stevens finds the wire with her again. Theatre Star is bred to like this trip and offers pricy underneath option. Win 6. Exactas 6-1, 4-1. Bonus stakes picks from Jeremy s Countdown to the Crown and Xpressbet Race of the Week, visit Horseplayernow.com for full analysis: LEXINGTON (KEE-10) OAKLAWN HCP (OP-7) ARKANSAS DERBY (OP-11) 7-Donworth 1-Race Day 7-Far Right 1-Divining Rod 10-Street Strategy 6-American Pharoah 2-Comfort 9-For Greater Glory 4-Madefromlucky 6-Fame and Power 5-Golden Lad 5-Bold Conquest ALL OF JEREMY S KEENELAND ANALYSIS INCLUDED IN THE SIDEKICK AVAILABLE ONLY IN BUZZ MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY SUBSCRIPTIONS! Jeremy Plonk s national stakes 8-pack appears every Saturday ONLY in the BUZZ.
5 Saturday, April 11, 2015 It s like having our team with you while you handicap! JEREMY PLONK KEENELAND Pace scenarios provided help give you a snapshot of how the race may be run and won. Horse numbers are put into (S)PEED, (P)RESSER, (M) MIDPACK, (C) CLOSER designations. Horse names in bold notes are those we re looking most at playing. Race 1 Field Size: 6 ML Fav Strength: AVERAGE Pace Scenario: Very manageable up front with no excuses. S: 4 P: 3,2 M: 5 C: 6,1 #4 Whatthecatdrugin from key FG circuit this meet & pace edge, similar story to #3 Out of Patience. Betting Attack: Key #4 in exactas over classy closers #1 Dad Are We Here, #6 Happy Fella. Double 4-2. Pick Three Race 3 Field Size: 10 ML Fav Strength: STRONG Pace Scenario: Early speed looks capable of holding edge. S: 6 P: 10,1,5,2 M: 7,3,9 C: 4,8 #6 Thundergram wisely spotted by barn off to good start, pace edge and back class. #2 Eton Blue fits here. Betting Attack: Enough options that #6 shouldn t be much off 3/1 ML. Solid win play 6. Exactas 6 over 2,10,4. Pk 4 sgl. Race 5 Field Size: 6 ML Fav Strength: WEAK Pace Scenario: None set on the lead; quality horse controls. S: P: 3 M: 6,5 C: 4,2,1 #3 Farhaan could show the most speed freshened for a barn on fire right now; #5 Protonico favored off a DNF. Betting Attack: Standing against ML chalk, take hot stable, win #3. Exacta boxes 3-1, 3-4 w/ classy foes. Pk4 use 3,1,4. Race 2 Field Size: 8 (+entry) ML Fav Strength: STRONG Pace Scenario: Very little pace; #2 should sit get perfect trip. S: 1a P: 2 M: 4,8,3,1a,5 C: 7,1,6 #2 Dreaming of Gold should be one of easier winners of day against a slow cast; sits off Lukas or wires em. Betting Attack: Short price to kick off Pick 4 as single. Intrarace the #1a,3,4,6 equally capable under shop for value. Race 4 Field Size: 11 (scr #6) ML Fav Strength: AVERAGE Pace Scenario: No one wants lead; jockeys race in scrum. S: 12 P: 5,2,7,3,9 M: 1,4,10,11 C: 8 #11 Button Down give long look as Euros loving this soft Kee turf. #4 Nominative, #1 Divine Luck big late. Betting Attack: At 30/1 ML get win-place #11. Trifecta 4,1 w/ 11 w/ ALL & 4,1 w/ ALL w/ 11. Pick 4 spread 4,1,11,3,5. Race 6 Field Size: 9 ML Fav Strength: STRONG Pace Scenario: Exceptionally quick, limited late choices. S: 6,8,2 P: 4,5,9 M: 3,7 C: 1 #6 Shathoor shortening up outlasts other speed. Beware #3 Big Red Charlie getting dream stalk trip. Betting Attack: Looks like either/or race with #6,3. Exacta 3-6 harder, 6-3 slightly less vs conventional box. DD 3 w/ 4,11. Pace, trip and key angles are all viable handicapping tools that we apply at Horse Player NOW. Now, we share them with you! The HP NOW Sidekick is designed to help you handicap a race and point you to the things we re looking at, too.
6 Saturday, April 11, 2015 It s like having our team with you while you handicap! JEREMY PLONK KEENELAND Pace scenarios provided help give you a snapshot of how the race may be run and won. Horse numbers are put into (S)PEED, (P)RESSER, (M) MIDPACK, (C) CLOSER designations. Horse names in bold notes are those we re looking most at playing. Race 7 Field Size: 12 ML Fav Strength: AVERAGE Pace Scenario: Hot early + 1&12 must send; closers rule. S: 1,2,7,12 P: 6,8,9 M: 5 C: 11,10,4,3 #11 Free as a Bird and #4 Ageless ran 1-2 in Fall stakes here. Power post ++ for Ageless turns the tables. Betting Attack: Using 4&11 in tris won t net huge; key just 1 on top. Win 4. Trifecta 4-11-all & 4-all-11. DD 4,11 w/ 10,11. Race 9 Field Size: 8 ML Fav Strength: AVERAGE Pace Scenario: Hustling jocks on 5,6 move early, fair tempo. S: 8 P: 6,5 M: 2,4 C: 7,1,3 #4 Ball Dancing could get first run on #3 Filimbi, who hasn t been consistent. Love ex-euros on this soft turf. Betting Attack: I ll use both #4,3 in multi-race wagers; bigtime interested in win bet #4 if 2/1+. Doubles 4,3 w/ 7,2. Race 8 Field Size: 12 ML Fav Strength: WEAK Pace Scenario: Difficult to project with so many rookies. S: 10 P: 2,5,3 M: 7,1,4,8 C: 11,6,9,12 #10 Flying Jibe good 3 rd last out to filly who won nicely here Wed; #11 Bon Heir makes them sweat late. Betting Attack: #4 Playtime regal genes, underlaid. Win 10. Trifecta 10,11-all-10,11 and 10,11-10,11-all. Pk 4 use 10,11. Race 10 Field Size: 7 ML Fav Strength: WEAK Pace Scenario: Favorites could melt eachother; late run ++. S: 6,5,1 P: 4 M: 7,3 C: 2 #7 Donworth gutsy placement by conservative barn; banking he shows patience from wider draw this time. Betting Attack: Doubt we get 5/1 ML on #7 as many ogled troubled debut. Win 7. Exacta box 7-2 & 7-1. Pk 4 use 7,2,1. Race 11 Field Size: 12 (+2 ae) ML Fav Strength: AVERAGE Pace Scenario: Very hot pace sets up for the late movers. S: 1,2,10 P: 11,12,13(ae) M: 4,5,6, 14(ae) C: 9,7,3,8 #8 Danish Dynaformer yet to get a set-up like this; pedigree for softer going. Brown s duo also formidable. Betting Attack: Use finishers 4,5,7,8 in multi-race bets. Win 8. Trifectas 8 w/ 4,5,7 w/ ALL and 4,5,7 w/ 8 w/ ALL. BANKROLL CONSIDERATIONS: SPEND 20% IN RACE 7, 20% IN RACE 8, 20% IN RACE 11. LATE PICK 4 HAS NEARLY 3,000 MORE COMBINATIONS THAN EARLY LEAST ATTRACTIVE BETTING RACES 2 nd, 9 th, 10 th Pace, trip and key angles are all viable handicapping tools that we apply at Horse Player NOW. Now, we share them with you! The HP NOW Sidekick is designed to help you handicap a race and point you to the things we re looking at, too.
7 Race Caton's Selections (BEST BETS in BOLD) CATON BREDAR'S FULL CARD KEENELAND SELECTIONS Saturday April 11, 2015 Analysis #3 Out of Patience #4 Whatthecatdrugin #1 Dad Are We Here #6 Happy Fella #2 Dreaming of Gold #6 Vespers At Eight #7 Flash Trading #1 Big Hat #6 Thundergram #4 Scout Leader #2 Eton Blue #8 Purgenality #4 Nominative #1 Divine Luck #5 Final Redemption #7 Savings Account #3 Farhaan #5 Protonico #4 Golden Ticket #1 Neck n Neck #4 Free to Dance #3 Big Red Charlie #5 Dr Turkmen #8 Taketothestreets #4 Ageless #11 Free as a Bird #2 Jewel of a Cat #8 Katie s Eyes #3 Super Humor #4 Playtime #11 Bon Heir #10 Flying Jibe #3 Filimbi #7 Emotional Kitten #4 Ball Dancing #8 Eden Prairie #2 Comfort #4 Tiznow R J #7 Donworth #1 Divining Rod #14 Face the Music #7 Araqeel #8 Danish Dynaformer #4 - Indebted Out of Patience off claim for good claiming outfit & moves back to dirt where he s been successful. Whatthecatdrugin also off claim for solid claiming barn and 2 nd w/ easier prior to layoff. and will be close to lead in a race without much speed. Dad Are We Here takes big class drop. Dreaming of Gold adds blinkers for streaking Maker barn. Colt has been 2 nd 3 straight times ready to graduate. Vespers At Eight main threat trying dirt first time and bred to handle it. Flash Trading also first time dirt, an angle barn does well with. Big Hat debuts w/ solid works. Thundergram was second with similar at Oaklawn and should be able to run right back w/ a similar or better effort. Tactical speed in a race lacking much pace and hot jock Bridgmohan for barn that s winning at nearly 30%. Scout Leader goes 3 rd off layoff and has done some of his best running at Keeneland. Late runner fits w/ these. Nominative moves up off a win while in great form. Can handle give in the ground for barn that s firing early. With tactical speed, can sit a perfect trip. Divine Luck unlucky not to win this condition last out; rested and well spotted. Final Redemption & Savings Account both coming off long layoffs but, if ready, fit. Dirt: Protonico is the likely favorite but vulnerable after being eased in the Donn Handicap. Working well since for trainer who wouldn t run if he weren t 100%, still prefer Farhaan making his first start since last summer and proven effective off the bench for barn on fire. Lack of any early pace works to advantage of Shadwell runner. Free to Dance makes first start of the year and training well w/ limited dirt experience. Son of Unbridled s Song has prior form good enough to win and with Leparoux up, may relax early and run big. Big Red Charlie 2 nd in both starts, beaten favorite logical to step up here. Dr Turkmen can sit off what may be hotly contested early pace; ran well here last fall While Free as a Bird goes for 7 th win in row and will be a deserving favorite, this is toughest test to date. Believe a freshened Ageless can turn the tables after nearly winning the BC Turf Sprint last fall. Both can handle give in ground appears to be 2 horse race as Jewel of a Cat should have pace pressure early. Dirt: Super Humor debuts for Casse--solid stats w/ first timers, and daughter of Super Saver working well. Same for Playtime, by Street Cry, who shows strong works for Shug McGaughey; like that he goes to Castellano. Bon Heir has benefit of experience and second in most recent try. Flying Jibe most experienced in field and improving. Wide open. Filimbi deserves another shot after a dud in first start of year in Tampa when she had gate trouble and never fired; 2 nd off layoff, better start and different track help. Emotional Kitten cross entered later in week; if Ward runs, it s with good reason. Ball Dancing knocking on door and fits. While Eden Prairie is the only real speed in race. Dirt: Donworth likely to take money off his debut a win despite trouble at GP. Connections scratched from an easier race Friday but jury out on what he beat. Comfort also moving up for Pletcher, who wins with new horses 24% but son of Indian Charlie has raced well around two turns. Tiznow RJ exits some tough preps, running credibly in most. Divining Rod also exiting tough races and likely one to catch up front. If Face the Music draws in from AE s, he ll be tough in 1 st start of year. Colt broke his maiden at Saratoga then battled for lead graded stakes before going to the sidelines. Araqeel makes only 2 nd try lifetime but impressive in debut, winning despite a lot of trouble. Colt has tremendous late kick and will be fun to watch. Dirt:
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