Charlotte Region Monthly Indicators
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1 Charlotte Region Monthly Indicators A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY CHARLOTTE REGIONAL REALTOR ASSOCIATION FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT A REALTOR 2019 Despite a strong U.S. economy, historically low unemployment and steady wage growth, home sales began to slow across the nation late last year. Blame was given to a combination of high prices and a steady stream of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. This month, the Fed responded to the growing affordability conundrum. In a move described as a patient approach to further rate changes, the Fed did not increase rates during New Listings were up in the Charlotte region by 12.9 percent to 4,543. Pending Sales increased 14.9 percent to 4,010. Inventory shrank 3.4 percent to 8,723 units. Prices moved higher as Median Sales Price was up 5.1 percent to $226,000. Months Supply of Homes for Sale remained flat at 2.2, indicating a stabilizing supply-demand balance. While the home affordability topic will continue to set the tone for the 2019 housing market, early signs point to an improving inventory situation, including in several markets that are beginning to show regular year-over-year percentage increases. As motivated sellers attempt to get a jump on annual goals, many new listings enter the market immediately after the turn of a calendar year. If home price appreciation falls more in line with wage growth, and rates can hold firm, consumer confidence and affordability are likely to improve. Quick Facts - 9.0% + 5.1% - 3.4% Year-Over-Year Change in Closed Sales Year-Over-Year Change in Median Sales Price Market Overview New Listings Pending Sales Closed Sales List to Close Days on Market Until Sale Cumulative Days on Market Until Sale Average List Price Average Sales Price Median Sales Price Percent of Original List Price Received Housing Affordability Index Inventory of Homes for Sale Months Supply of Homes for Sale Year-Over-Year Change in Homes for Sale The Charlotte Region report includes Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Stanly and Union counties in North Carolina, and Chester, Chesterfield, Lancaster and York counties in South Carolina. composed of single-family properties, townhomes and condominiums combined. Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity. Figures shown may be different than previously reported. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 1
2 Market Overview Key metrics by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year. Key Metrics Historical Sparkbars YTD 2018 YTD 2019 New Listings 4,023 4, % 4,023 4, % Pending Sales 3,490 4, % 3,490 4, % Closed Sales 2,759 2, % 2,759 2, % List to Close % % Days on Market Until Sale % % Cumulative Days on Market % % Average List Price $311,890 $328, % $311,890 $328, % Average Sales Price $263,294 $268, % $263,294 $268, % Median Sales Price $215,000 $226, % $215,000 $226, % Pct. of Original List Price Received 96.0% 95.6% - 0.4% 96.0% 95.6% - 0.4% Housing Affordability Index % % Inventory of Homes for Sale 9,027 8, % Months Supply of Homes for Sale % Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 2
3 New Listings A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month. 4,089 4,023 4,543 4,089 4, % - 1.6% % + 4.9% -1.6% 4, % New Listings February ,680 4, % March ,006 6, % April ,824 5, % May ,403 6, % June ,972 5, % July ,610 5, % August ,687 5, % September ,347 4, % October ,816 4, % November ,948 3, % December ,604 2, % ,543 4, % 12-Month Avg 5,037 4, % Historical New Listings by Month 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2, Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 3
4 Pending Sales A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month. Pending contracts include "Under Contract-Show" and "Under Contract-No Show" statuses. 3,376 3,490 4,010 3,376 3, % + 3.4% % + 8.6% + 3.4% 4, % Pending Sales February ,851 3, % March ,698 4, % April ,795 4, % May ,802 4, % June ,611 4, % July ,501 4, % August ,303 4, % September ,317 3, % October ,716 3, % November ,262 3, % December ,560 2, % ,010 3, % 12-Month Avg 4,036 4, % Historical Pending Sales by Month 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Note: CarolinaMLS did not include "Showable" Under Contract listings in the Pending Sales stats before July Listing agents report listings as "Under Contract-Show" earlier in the transaction. As a result, Pending Sales stats trend higher since July Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 4
5 Closed Sales A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month. 2,699 2,759 2,510 2,699 2, % + 2.2% - 9.0% % + 2.2% 2, % Closed Sales February ,860 2, % March ,089 4, % April ,217 3, % May ,839 4, % June ,071 5, % July ,685 4, % August ,871 4, % September ,838 4, % October ,849 4, % November ,547 3, % December ,333 3, % ,510 2, % 12-Month Avg 3,976 4, % Historical Closed Sales by Month 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 5
6 List to Close List to Close provides the total number of days specific to the MLS number from "Listing Date" to "Sold Date." Historical List to Close by Month % - 8.7% 0.0% -6.5% -8.7% % List to Close February % March % April % May % June % July % August % September % October % November % December % % 12-Month Avg* % * List to Close for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 6
7 Days on Market Until Sale Days on Market (DOM) tracks the days on market for a property specific to the MLS number. DOM accrues for "Active" and "Under Contract-Show" statuses. DOM does not include any days that the listing is in "Under Contract-No Show," "Temporarily off Market," "Closed/Sold," "Expired" and "Withdrawn" statuses Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month % - 7.0% - 5.7% % -7.0% % Days on Market February % March % April % May % June % July % August % September % October % November % December % % 12-Month Avg* % * Days on Market for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 7
8 Cumulative Days on Market Until Sale Cumulative Days on Market (CDOM) functions like DOM; however, CDOM tracks the days on market for a property over multiple listings on the property. When a new listing is entered, the CDOM only resets to zero if the previous listing closed (as in sold) or if the previous listing has been off market (expired or withdrawn) for more than 90 days Historical Cumulative Days on Market Until Sale by Month % - 6.1% - 4.8% % -6.1% % Cumulative Days on Market February % March % April % May % June % July % August % September % October % November % December % % 12-Month Avg* % * Cumulative Days on Market for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 8
9 Average List Price Average list price for all homes that have been newly listed on the market in a given month. $298,512 $311,890 $328,665 Historical Average List Price by Month $298,512 $311, % + 4.5% + 5.4% + 5.9% + 4.5% $328, % Average List Price February 2018 $323,902 $311, % March 2018 $340,115 $326, % April 2018 $336,649 $321, % May 2018 $334,978 $318, % June 2018 $315,987 $308, % July 2018 $303,009 $302, % August 2018 $309,592 $292, % September 2018 $314,962 $308, % October 2018 $310,117 $296, % November 2018 $315,034 $291, % December 2018 $296,672 $284, % 2019 $328,665 $311, % 12-Month Avg* $320,708 $307, % * Average List Price for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above. $350,000 $325,000 $300,000 $275,000 $250,000 $225,000 $200,000 $175, Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 9
10 Average Sales Price Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month. $256,226 $263,294 $268,271 Historical Average Sales Price by Month $256,226 $263,294 $268, % + 2.8% + 1.9% % + 2.8% + 1.9% Average Sales Price February 2018 $266,329 $241, % March 2018 $280,352 $267, % April 2018 $292,320 $270, % May 2018 $299,718 $270, % June 2018 $301,954 $285, % July 2018 $290,608 $276, % August 2018 $294,601 $270, % September 2018 $280,973 $267, % October 2018 $278,702 $262, % November 2018 $285,864 $268, % December 2018 $281,631 $279, % 2019 $268,271 $263, % 12-Month Avg* $287,075 $270, % * Average Sales Price for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above. $320,000 $300,000 $280,000 $260,000 $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 $180, Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 10
11 Median Sales Price Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month. $200,000 $215,000 $226,000 Historical Median Sales Price by Month $200,000 $215, % + 7.5% + 5.1% % + 7.5% $226, % Median Sales Price February 2018 $227,000 $199, % March 2018 $235,000 $219, % April 2018 $240,000 $223, % May 2018 $245,960 $223, % June 2018 $249,000 $241, % July 2018 $240,000 $235, % August 2018 $245,000 $225, % September 2018 $235,000 $223, % October 2018 $231,000 $220, % November 2018 $236,000 $221, % December 2018 $235,325 $233, % 2019 $226,000 $215, % 12-Month Avg* $238,500 $225, % * Median Sales Price for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above. $260,000 $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 $180,000 $160,000 $140,000 $120, Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 11
12 Percent of Original List Price Received Percentage found when dividing a property s sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions. 95.9% 96.0% 95.6% Historical Percent of Original List Price Received by Month 95.9% 96.0% 95.6% + 1.5% + 0.1% - 0.4% + 1.5% + 0.1% -0.4% Pct. of Orig. Price Received February % 96.3% +0.4% March % 96.8% +0.4% April % 97.2% +0.2% May % 97.3% +0.3% June % 97.5% +0.3% July % 97.2% +0.1% August % 97.2% -0.2% September % 96.8% -0.1% October % 96.7% -0.5% November % 96.5% -0.6% December % 96.3% -0.5% % 96.0% -0.4% 12-Month Avg* 96.9% 96.9% 0.0% * Pct. of Orig. Price Received for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above % 98.0% 96.0% 94.0% 92.0% 90.0% 88.0% 86.0% Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 12
13 Housing Affordability Index This index measures housing affordability for the region. For example, an index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability % - 7.3% - 7.9% -8.9% -7.3% % Affordability Index February % March % April % May % June % July % August % September % October % November % December % % 12-Month Avg % Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 13
14 Inventory of Homes for Sale The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month. 10,074 9,027 8, % % -3.4% Homes for Sale February ,914 10, % March ,446 10, % April ,751 11, % May ,452 11, % June ,864 11, % July ,027 11, % August ,283 11, % September ,273 11, % October ,045 11, % November ,477 10, % December ,244 9, % ,723 9, % 12-Month Avg 10,208 10, % Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale by Month 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 14
15 Months Supply of Homes for Sale The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months % % 0.0% Historical Months Supply of Homes for Sale by Month Months Supply February % March % April % May % June % July % August % September % October % November % December % % 12-Month Avg* % * Months Supply for all properties from February 2018 through This is not the average of the individual figures above Note: CarolinaMLS did not include "Showable" Under Contract listings in the Pending Sales stats before July Listing agents report listings as "Under Contract-Show" earlier in the transaction. As a result, Months Supply of Homes for Sale stats trend lower since July Current as of February 5, All data from CarolinaMLS, Inc. Report provided by the Charlotte Regional Realtor Association. Report 2019 ShowingTime. 15
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