Down with vacancy and up with absorption in Q3 2018
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- Gervase Gilmore
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1 Austin Office, Q Down with vacancy and up with absorption in Q ,487 SF 575,927 SF 10.2% 4,445,358 SF $35.49 PSF Figure 1: Net Absorption and Vacancy Net Absorption (000s SF) 2,200 1, *Arrows indicate change from previous quarter. Vacancy Rate (%) , Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Annual Net Absorption Vacancy Rate 6 Q CBRE Research 2018 CBRE, Inc. 1
2 Figure 2: Austin Office Market Statistics Net Total Total Avg. FSG Under Q Q Submarket Rentable Vacancy Availability Asking Construction Deliveries Net Net Area (%) (%) Rate ($) (SF) (SF) Absorption Absorption CBD 10,996, ,539,304 20, , ,711 Class A 8,021, ,539,304 20, , ,170 Class B 2,532, ,576 51,221 Northwest 14,549, , ,000 (35,785) (37,926) Class A 9,141, , ,000 13,533 72,793 Class B 5,117, (50,992) (110,223) Far Northwest 4,531, ,384-43,594 24,289 Class A 2,854, ,384-27,227 63,655 Class B 1,550, ,059 (31,414) Northeast 2,103, , ,000 53,009 (64,797) Class A 1,031, ,000 29,837 (32,565) Class B 891, ,390-23,172 (36,828) North 734, ,026 74,085 Class A 114, ,578 Class B 609, ,901 55,507 Central 1,961, ,391-1,840 18,868 Class A 522, (8,591) 65,606 Class B 1,249, ,391-4,706 (34,244) Round Rock 864, ,476 46,986 11,163 13,272 Class A 151, , ,050 Class B 670, ,476-11,163 14,737 East 841, ,640 - (15,802) (15,780) Class A 373, , ,866 Class B 357, ,000 - (15,802) (20,646) South 1,141, ,201 90, , ,119 Class A 399, ,201 90,500 94, ,787 Class B 405, ,033 10,845 Southeast 1,127, ,850-7,453 4,877 Class A 155, ,225 - (2,277) (16,573) Class B 876, ,625-8,506 19,563 Southwest 11,102, ,758-85, ,682 Class A 7,730, ,452-51, ,553 Class B 3,225, ,306-34,771 (11,279) Austin Total 49,954, ,445, , , ,400 Class A 30,495, ,817, , , ,920 Class B 17,485, , ,093 (92,761) Although Class C is not shown, totals are inclusive of all classes of data. Q CBRE Research 2018 CBRE, Inc. 2
3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q MARKETVIEW Figure 3: Austin Labor Force & Unemployment (%) (Thousands) 8 Forecast 1, , Total Employment (Non-Farm) Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody s Analytics, June Unemployment Rate Figure 4: Historical Construction and Deliveries MSF Under Construction Delivered Construction Figure 5: Significant Leases / Sales of Q Figure 6: Q Signed Leases by Industry Lease (Tenant) Property Total SF HEB Grocer/Favor UpCycle 81,711 PIMCO Frost Bank Tower 47,244 Keller Williams Realty Barton Skyway III 41,883 Sale (Building) Address Total SF Austin Oaks Office Park Executive Center Drive Source: CBRE Research, Real Capital Analytics Q ,444 Stonebridge Plaza I & II 9606 N MoPac Expressway 386,146 13% 6% 38% 9% 13% 21% Technology Business Services Engineering Financial Health Other Q CBRE Research 2018 CBRE, Inc. 3
4 Figure 7: Historical Market Statistics YTD 2018 CBD Absorption (Net SF) 167, ,023 64, , ,300 97, , ,711 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) , , , , ,667 Vacancy Rate (%) NORTHWEST Absorption (Net SF) 1,103, , , , , , ,810 (37,926) Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) , , , , ,000 Vacancy Rate (%) FAR NORTHWEST * Absorption (Net SF) N/A N/A 366,763 79, , , ,294 24,289 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual N/A N/A Delivered Construction (SF) N/A N/A , Vacancy Rate (%) N/A N/A NORTHEAST ** Absorption (Net SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 64,819 (64,797) Asking Rent, Avg. Annual N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Delivered Construction (SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 115,000 Vacancy Rate (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A NORTH CENTRAL*** Absorption (Net SF) 103,556 (109,170) 90, ,683 90, ,093 N/A N/A Asking Rent, Avg. Annual N/A N/A Delivered Construction (SF) ,962 46,000 N/A N/A Vacancy Rate (%) N/A N/A NORTH** Absorption (Net SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A (18,159) 74,085 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Delivered Construction (SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 0 Vacancy Rate (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A CENTRAL** Absorption (Net SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 52,348 18,868 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Delivered Construction (SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 0 Vacancy Rate (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A ROUND ROCK Absorption (Net SF) 37,083 8,592 26,097 41,367 19,892 18,801 (12,545) 13,272 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) ,043 22, ,486 Vacancy Rate (%) EAST Absorption (Net SF) (32,154) 387,386 1,722 49,392 58, , ,217 (15,780) Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) , , ,408 59, ,711 Vacancy Rate (%) SOUTH Absorption (Net SF) 52,136 83,355 25,359 70,143 33, ,472 93, ,119 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) 24, , ,246 Vacancy Rate (%) SOUTHEAST** Absorption (Net SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 71,123 4,877 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Delivered Construction (SF) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 29,205 0 Vacancy Rate (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A SOUTHWEST Absorption (Net SF) 367, , , , , , , ,682 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) ,008 76,500 1,062, , ,500 Vacancy Rate (%) AUSTIN TOTAL Absorption (Net SF) 1,799,535 1,528, ,306 1,158,340 2,139,144 1,737,542 1,654, ,400 Asking Rent, Avg. Annual Delivered Construction (SF) 24, , ,702 2,747, ,549 1,709,994 1,207,610 Vacancy Rate (%) *Submarket created in 2013 **Submarket created in 2017 ***Submarket removed in 2017 Q CBRE Research 2018 CBRE, Inc. 4
5 CONTACTS CBRE OFFICES Disclaimer: Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to confirm independently its accuracy and completeness. This information is presented exclusively for use by CBRE clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior written permission of CBRE.
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