2018 Automation Market Update. Alex Shikany Vice President AIA Association for Advancing Automation (A3)
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1 2018 Automation Market Update Alex Shikany Vice President AIA Association for Advancing Automation (A3)
2 North American Robotics Market Revenue (Thousands) $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0 Robot Orders - Units (North America) 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - Units Orders - Units Orders - Dollars (000s) YTD: 13.8%
3 North American Robotics Market Automotive OEM 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000-2, , , , , , , , YTD: -14.7%
4 North American Robotics Market Automotive Component 12,000 10,835 10,000 8,000 7,040 7,439 7,639 6,000 4,942 4,950 4,000 2,000 1,805 3, YTD: 41.8%
5 North American Robotics Market Food & Consumer Goods 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, , ,171 1, YTD: 20.8%
6 North American Robotics Market Semi & Electronics/Photonics 1,400 1,200 1, ,242 1,228 1, YTD: -8.9%
7 North American Robotics Market Plastics & Rubber YTD: 17.6%
8 North American Robotics Market Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed 1, YTD: 15.3%
9 North American Robotics Market Metals 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,520 1,713 1,637 1,915 1,960 1,478 2,277 1, YTD: 54.1%
10 North American Robotics Market All Other Industries 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,842 2,671 2,156 2,064 2,247 2,664 2,381 2,705 1,500 1, YTD: 13.6%
11 North American Robotics Market APPLICATIONS (UNITS ORDERED, FIRST NINE 2017) 45% 4% 27% 16% 3% 5% Spot Welding Arc Welding Coating & Dispensing Assembly Material Handling Material Removal Inspection Other
12 294,312 new robots installed in 2016 Growth of 16% over 2015 CAGR of 12% from
13 By 2020 Over 2m Units Shipped Worldwide AVG Growth of 14% for
14 Where the Robots Are 1. Toledo, OH 2. Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 3. Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 4. Louisville/Jefferson Co, KY-IN 5. Nashville-Davidson- Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN 6. Youngstown-Warren- Boardman, OH-PA 7. Jackson, MS 8. Greensville-Anderson- Mauldin, SC 9. Ogden-Clearfield, UT 10. Knoxville, TN
15 Service Robots Total Value of Forecast 2016 to 2019 = $23.1 billion USD Approximately 1/3 the size of the Industrial Robotics Market forecasted for the same time period Source: International Federation of Robotics
16 Collaborative Robots Several Research Firms Have Estimated the Size of the Collaborative Robots market and Provided Forecasts. Globally, by end of 2017: 8,000+ units shipped $225 million in revenue Globally, by end of 2020: 40,000+ units shipped $1 billion + in revenue
17 NA Machine Vision Market $3,000,000 TOTAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,583,783 $2,704,997 $1,000,000 $500,000 $ * 2018* 2017: 12.4% 2018: 4.7%
18 NA Machine Vision Market $250,000 COMPONENT CAMERAS $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $116,616 $143,511 $148,168 $146,046 $165,350 $165,532 $170,578 $190,122 $201,530 $50,000 $77,390 $ * 2018* 2017: 11.5% 2018: 6%
19 NA Machine Vision Market OTHER COMPONENTS $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 Lighting Optics Imaging Boards Software * 2018* 2017: 14.2% 2018: 7%
20 NA Machine Vision Market $2,000,000 $1,800,000 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0 SYSTEMS ASMV Smart Cameras * 2018* $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 2017: 12.2% 2018: 4.5%
21 Market Sentiment Markets 3rd Quarter 2017 (Jul 1 Sep 30) UP DOWN FLAT MACHINE VISION COMPONENTS Cameras 6% 39% 56% Lighting 50% 20% 30% Optics 70% 22% 8% Imaging Boards 50% 15% 35% Software 80% 6% 14% Total Machine Vision Components 31% 29% 40% MACHINE VISION SYSTEMS ASMV Systems 50% 9% 41% Smart Cameras 40% 9% 51% Total Machine Vision Systems 48% 9% 43% OTHER MV (includes Integrator, Distributor and Sales not Identifiable by Market) Total Other Machine Vision Sales 28% 11% 61% TOTAL MACHINE VISION FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS (Total Components + Total MV Systems + Other MV) 46% 11% 43%
22 Source: WSTS Semiconductor Billings
23 New Markets Outside of Machine Vision
24 Embedded Vision Intelligent & Embedded Automation
25 MCMA Statistics TOTAL MOTION CONTROL / MOTOR ORDERS $2,549.4 $2,419.6 $2,626.4 $2,498.8 $2,863.4 $3,228.2 $3, * 2018*
26 MCMA Statistics 2017 PROJECTED GROWTH OTHER ANCILLARY MOTION CONTROLLERS SENSORS & FEEDBACK ACTUATORS & MECHANICAL AC DRIVES MOTORS SUPPORT SERVICES AC MOTORS ELECTRONIC DRIVES -3% 5% 4% 10% 17% 15% 27% 31% 40% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
27 Motion Control & GDP 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% -20.0% 5.6% 4.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% -0.4% -1.4% -2.4% Total MCMA Orders US GDP (Billions)
28 Motion Control & U.S. PMI 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% -20.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% -20.0% Total MCMA Orders US MFG PMI (AVG)
29 Motion Control & Robot Orders 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% -20.0% 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% -20.0% -40.0% Total MCMA Orders Robot Orders (Revenue, NA)
30 NAM Q4 Outlook
31 Source: NAM Economic Outlook Q Optimism
32 Source: NAM Economic Outlook Q Top Challenges
33 How Are You Addressing Shortage? Source: NAM Economic Outlook Q4 2017
34 Progress
35
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